Pollsters have started early. The election commission has still not made
any announcements regards General Election 2014. Some agencies also realize
that much water will flow between now and the Polling day. Some early birds
however have taken a plunge. Intresting facts seem to emerge from the excerises
being Telecast and reported in Newspapers.
It is a forgone conclusion now that NDA led by BJP will be the largest
alliance post polls. It will need a miracle of sorts for UPA to even achieve
200 Lok Sabha seats in 2014.It will need another miracle for NDA to forge
alliance knowing it’s penchant for agonising allies in recent past.
Pundits ,pupils and economists will make us believe that the biggest
challenge the new Government will face is financial in nature.None can deny the
facts that populist policies and rheotric to it in buildup to election will be
a hurdle for the new government. Harsh economical decisions need some
consenseus among allies and it’s not easy as we have experienced. The would be Policy
makers are watching outward for investment in Infrastructure ,Power and
Manufacturing.
The bigger Demons however lie inside.It
is more likely that the main party of the new alliance in power will not have
any representation of North East. The effort to understand this neglected
reigon has been less and few by any Republic standards.Assam,Manipur and
Nagaland are simmering if not boiling.Back channel negotition by Delhi have
created no goodwill in the recent past. One does not even see a mention of
reconcilation by the BJP in these regards. Ethnic conflict in Karbi Anglong,
Kokrajhar has spread to some what
peaceful districts of GopalPara. At least four different ethnic groups
are demanding statehood in Assam namely BodoLand,Dima-Hasao,Karbi Anglong and
Kamatapur. BJP in some parts of Assam is viewed as a party supporting one
ethnic community . Manipur has three ethnic divides with at least two having
militant outfits.Here too the BJP is conceptualised as patriachal to one section. The spill over
of Assam and Manipur and demand of Greater Nagaland will be another out of
horizon ask for the BJP and it’s allies. Gorkhaland is another area of concern and utterances of
Mr.Jaswant Singh has not turned it into
bed of roses for BJP if itseeks TMC as an alliance partner.
The most violent recent strikes by the Naxals has been in state
controlled by BJP. The hot bed of Naxals are in areas of abundant matural
resources which the BJP seems to be harping on as one of the keys of
development. It does not need knowledge of social sceintist to explain that the
issue regards alienation in these areas . BJP again is seen as a part of the
opressive syatem.
Discussion on Article 370 or it’s aboilition , it’s stand on AFSAPA
being percieved as antagonist rather than a reconciler can raise another fire ball .
Another day on preceived foreign policy of BJP
